Friday, August 8, 2008

Have Georgia lost their marbles?

After years of uneasy truce and the occaisional shot down UAV Georgia has attacked and invaded the break away territory of South Ossetia and have surrounded the capital Tskhinvali. The question of course is, what will Russia do? There are already reports (or rather accusations by the Georgians) of bombing by Russian aircraft on Georgian positions and Russian volunteers crossing the border to help fight the Georgian forces. Russian forces in the region arn't that bad and already has peacekeepers in South Ossetia, three of whom are reported to have been killed.

SU-25, Georgian examples have been in action

A dificult situation for Georgia and the rest of the region, you can't really see how this could end well especially if Russia get involved. However at the moment the Bear is inactive, perhaps because Putin is in Beijing? If so the Georgian attack was perfectly timed. Georgian forces are said to be all over South Ossetia and victory should be assured... for now anyway.

Update : Georgian forces are observing a 3 hour ceasefire to allow civilians to leave the South Ossetian capital Tskhinvali. Meanwhile there are reports of possible troop movements on the Russian side of the border, Russia pledging to protect it's nationals stuck in South Ossetia.

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